Early window · first to 75%: evaluates immediately during the first five minutes when fresh Bitcoin direction, aligned momentum and tight Kalshi quotes qualify. The first qualifying side freezes for this window on this browser tab. It is a directional study, not a calibrated first-touch probability.
Official Lock: a compact device-local frozen indicator after the first minute, requiring fresh Compass agreement, a full aligned 70% projection and odds below 60%. There is no public win/loss Results page or advertised accuracy claim.
Flip Catcher: names the side a historical pattern could flip toward. It needs at least 30 eligible prior windows; 65% lights a stronger pattern. Historical rates and lower bounds are context, not guarantees.
Kalshi Scalper: study entries use fresh 35%–under-60% asks, at most a three-point spread and more than two minutes remaining. A saved study entry watches a 70% sell-bid target, a five-point drop, reversal and final-minute risk. Watch study entry records an observation, never an order; fees and slippage are excluded.
Brief missing reads are labeled Last read, neutral and limited to ten seconds in the same window. Smooth display transitions never turn stale evidence into an entry.