The BTC15.LIVE guide

Read Bitcoin direction, current target position, live pressure and historical projections together. These are changing indicators, not official calls.

Reading the live indicators

Early Entry Compass = live Bitcoin direction. Its needle uses price speed, buyer/seller flow, RSI and moving averages—not Kalshi percentages. It can change before odds move and does not wait for a new contract to load. Entry agreement requires at least seven of ten checks, mandatory velocity, fresh flow and room-to-run, and a decisive score; Kalshi room below 60% is one check, not the needle.

Window studies are separate. First-to-75 and the compact Official Lock freeze qualifying observations locally for the current window, not official scored calls. Flip Catcher is historical pattern context; the Kalshi Scalper watches explicit asks/bids without placing orders.

Read four things together: current target and distance, Early Entry Compass, buyer/seller pressure, and chart projections. Heavy buying can still coexist with Down odds leading if Bitcoin remains below target. Pressure shows who is pushing, not who will settle ahead.

A green/red connection means these fresh displays agree Up/Down; neutral means incomplete or conflicting evidence. It is not an extra confirmation or an automatic trade. A 70% crowd touch is a goal, not guaranteed profit or a guaranteed executable sell price.

Your four key indicators

1 · Current target price

The target is Kalshi’s fixed strike for this contract—not a moving Bitcoin quote. From Target compares live Coinbase Bitcoin with it. Final settlement follows Kalshi’s official rules and source; the live gap is context, not the official close.

2 · Early Entry Compass

A Bitcoin thermometer using 1m/5m velocity, live taker flow, fast RSI and EMA 9/21. MACD supplies another check. The ten checks cover velocity, fresh flow, RSI, EMA, MACD, Kalshi room, VWAP, 15-minute trend, recovered window flow and price extension. Entry agreement needs at least seven checks, mandatory velocity/flow/room and a decisive score; the needle itself remains Bitcoin-only. Kalshi below 60% is one room-to-70% check, never a direction input. No signal places an order.

3 · Buyers vs sellers

The bar shows volume-weighted aggressive Coinbase flow over 30 seconds. Bought/Sold totals recover trades from the whole 15-minute window; incomplete recovery is marked. Biggest Orders uses your chosen threshold and interval. Buying can be absorbed, so buying dominance does not mean Up will settle ahead.

4 · Chart projections

Compare the median path, possible continuations, target and uncertainty band. The UP/DOWN percentages estimate finish direction—not the likelihood of a 70% crowd touch. An early-window provisional estimate is distinct from the full matched-path projection.

What “80 matching sessions” means

Up to 80 historical 15-minute windows are searched for in the public research archive of eligible completed windows; incomplete windows are skipped and the available count grows as valid history is collected — not visitor sessions or personal trading records. Each archive path contains complete Coinbase one-minute Bitcoin observations with an official Kalshi outcome. Only completed windows before the current open qualify. The matcher ranks price-path similarity with volatility normalization, recency weighting, one-minute timing tolerance and time-of-day adjustment. The chart shows the actual selected count; 80 is not a guarantee of 80 matches or 80 successful outcomes. The band summarizes the historical 10th–90th percentile range, not a guaranteed boundary.

A practical window checklist

  1. Verify fresh Bitcoin, the current target and remaining time. The Bitcoin compass reads changing momentum throughout the window.
  2. Compare compass direction with pressure and projections. Green/red connections indicate fresh agreement, not extra independent evidence. Grey means wait for clearer or fresher inputs.
  3. Check the actual contract ask, spread, fees and your risk limit. A crowd percentage is not necessarily the price you can buy or sell at. Live indicators can change as new data arrives.
  4. Aim for your planned exit; 70% crowd odds are a goal, not a guaranteed executable cash-out. Protect against reversals and never assume settlement will match the live gap.

Window studies, not official calls

Early window · first to 75%: evaluates immediately during the first five minutes when fresh Bitcoin direction, aligned momentum and tight Kalshi quotes qualify. The first qualifying side freezes for this window on this browser tab. It is a directional study, not a calibrated first-touch probability.

Official Lock: a compact device-local frozen indicator after the first minute, requiring fresh Compass agreement, a full aligned 70% projection and odds below 60%. There is no public win/loss Results page or advertised accuracy claim.

Flip Catcher: names the side a historical pattern could flip toward. It needs at least 30 eligible prior windows; 65% lights a stronger pattern. Historical rates and lower bounds are context, not guarantees.

Kalshi Scalper: study entries use fresh 35%–under-60% asks, at most a three-point spread and more than two minutes remaining. A saved study entry watches a 70% sell-bid target, a five-point drop, reversal and final-minute risk. Watch study entry records an observation, never an order; fees and slippage are excluded.

Brief missing reads are labeled Last read, neutral and limited to ten seconds in the same window. Smooth display transitions never turn stale evidence into an entry.

Charts, community and other coins

Open the chart fullscreen and use the indicator editor to view saved code, rename your own indicator or edit and save its source. Owners can share indicators; published copies are visible to community viewers by default with a per-device hide choice. Copy another creator’s indicator before editing it. Python, JavaScript and supported Pine-style drawings are display-only; Pine compatibility is approximate, not identical to TradingView.

Crypto Market has 18 clickable Coinbase USD assets with real per-coin prices, candles, volume, flow and community indicators. Each coin’s readings stay separate. Community code is shared, but live outputs can differ by asset, timeframe and available history; script-authored Kalshi text is not exchange odds for non-Bitcoin coins.

Coinbase flow streams live. Expanded Kalshi pressure checks recent trades on a 200-millisecond cadence when responses are fast, without waiting for full-window recovery. Requests never overlap and failures slow retries. Up/Down buyers mean Yes/No takers, not all buy/sell orders. Exchange delays and partial recovery remain possible. Minimize sections independently; view options and appearance preferences stay on your device.

Crypto Market

Advanced Bitcoin chart

Advanced chart opens trendlines, horizontal levels, Fibonacci retracements, zones, a dollar/percentage/time ruler and a risk-to-reward drawing. Choose anchors on the chart; the risk tool uses entry, stop then target. Select a drawing to move its handles or delete it. Magnet snaps to candle open, high, low or close. Drawings save on this device per timeframe and carry into fullscreen. The camera saves a PNG. Dollar, logarithmic and percent scales, synthetic Heikin-Ashi candles, loaded-history high/low, 15-minute dividers and loaded-history VWAP bands are optional. The approximate volume profile assigns visible candle volume to typical prices; it is not trade-level volume or order-book depth. These chart tools do not change the Compass, custom-code inputs or trading. Advanced chart is separate from the paid Advanced trading workspace.

Build an indicator without coding

Builder on the Bitcoin chart opens editable calculation blocks for price, EMA, SMA, RSI, MACD histogram, ATR, VWAP, Bollinger bands, prior highs/lows, volume and rate of change. Start blank or use a trend, reversal, breakout or momentum preset. Entry and exit groups match all or any conditions, including threshold checks, crossovers and rising/falling values. Closed-candle confirmation and a bar cooldown are optional. Choose plot colors, labels, a dashboard, estimated momentum projections and symmetric ATR levels. Check against the loaded real candles before saving. Saved indicators retain their generated source; reopen Edit blocks or edit the code through My indicators, and share explicitly if desired. These are chart studies, not orders or validated strategy performance. Signal-only Pine scripts can legitimately show nothing until conditions match; an alert-only script needs a supported visual output.

AI indicator design

Describe the calculations, trigger, confirmation and drawings you want, or start with an example. AI creates editable supported blocks, not automatic trades. Check against the chart’s loaded candles before saving; you can edit the source later. The seven-day trial includes five AI designs; Pro includes 25 per calendar month. Manual block edits do not consume builds. Failed designs return their reserved build; stopping may still spend AI processing credits. Your AI settings and site-wide controls apply. Additional paid builds are not available yet.

Live indicators require sign-in and an active 7-day trial or plan. Pro costs $25/month, $199/year or $499 once for Lifetime. Paid plans also unlock Basic and Advanced; trials keep those locked.

Estimates, never guarantees. Historical matches do not establish profitable future trading. Only risk money you can afford to lose.